Marathon vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Motagua — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Motagua
HON
2-1
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
2-1
HT 0-0
Motagua
HON
3-0
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
0-0
HT 0-0
Motagua
HON
Marathon and Motagua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Marathon and 1.67 for Motagua.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Motagua?
Marathon 1-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Motagua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marathon 40%, draw 29%, Motagua 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marathon), Over 2.5 went the other way.