Angostura FC 1-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.3pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 48%
+19% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.06/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.92
+8% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +136%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.2 Crosses 20.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Carabobo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 0.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
229 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 1-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
01.09.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 1-1 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
06.03.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
1-1
AWAY Carabobo
0.83 xG 1.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
253 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angostura FC and Carabobo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carabobo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Angostura FC had 47% of the ball to Carabobo's 53%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.83 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Angostura FC and 1.33 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Carabobo?

Angostura FC 1-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 28%, draw 27%, Carabobo 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carabobo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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