Portuguesa FC 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.55/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.85
-10% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
25.1 Crosses 19.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portuguesa FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.75 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
273 Passes 227
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
13.11.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
22.10.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
18.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 4-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
27.02.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
24.10.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
1-1
AWAY Academia Puerto Cabello
0.97 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
284 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC and Academia Puerto Cabello couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 51% of the ball to Academia Puerto Cabello's 49%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.97 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academia Puerto Cabello led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portuguesa FC and 1.50 for Academia Puerto Cabello.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Portuguesa FC 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Academia Puerto Cabello?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 40%, draw 30%, Academia Puerto Cabello 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portuguesa FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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