Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.96
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
9%
5.24
X/2
13%
7.15
X/X
12%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.75
2/2
14%
4.8
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 32%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.87/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.66
-100% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
22.3 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNSL
16.06.2024 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
26.08.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
12.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-2 HT 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
17.08.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-0
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.08 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
268 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao squeezed past Shanghai Shenhua 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Chengdu Qianbao made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 48% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.08 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.17 for Shanghai Shenhua.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Shanghai Shenhua in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 40%, draw 26%, Shanghai Shenhua 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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