Thor Akureyri 1-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-8.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.34/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.16
-21% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
24.02.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
14.08.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-0 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
11.06.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
07.03.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
01.05.2018 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-2 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZK
14.08.2015 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri and HK Kopavogur shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Thor Akureyri at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.00 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur?

Thor Akureyri 1-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 41%, draw 29%, HK Kopavogur 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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