UMF Selfoss 2-1 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.8pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
1.35/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.10
-25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Grindavik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3 Corners 4
09.09.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 2-1 HT 1-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
25.07.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-0 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
03.09.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 0-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
01.07.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 0-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
03.03.2022 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
13.08.2021 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 3-2 HT 2-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Selfoss nicked a narrow win over Grindavik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day UMF Selfoss made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UMF Selfoss had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UMF Selfoss and 1.50 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Grindavik?

UMF Selfoss 2-1 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Selfoss win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 38%, draw 25%, Grindavik 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UMF Selfoss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UMF Selfoss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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