Fjölnir 1-3 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 62%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.59
+49% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +107%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Keflavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
04.07.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
03.03.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-5 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
08.08.2018 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
18.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
10.08.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
1-3
AWAY Keflavik
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik saw off Fjölnir 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fjölnir had 34% of the ball to Keflavik's 66%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fjölnir and 1.83 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Keflavik?

Fjölnir 1-3 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 23%, draw 25%, Keflavik 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
2 May 2025
21:00 UMF Selfoss vs Grindavik Analysis →
21:00 Thor Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur Analysis →
21:30 Njardvik vs Fylkir Analysis →
22:15 Throttur Reykjavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik Analysis →