Keflavik 4-0 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

Keflavik
4-0 HT 1-0
Fjölnir
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2024

Keflavik vs Fjölnir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.2pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keflavik v Fjölnir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
2.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.28
+35% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Keflavik vs Fjölnir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.07.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
03.03.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-5 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZLK
08.08.2018 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
18.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
10.08.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL
20.05.2015 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik cruised past Fjölnir 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Keflavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Keflavik and 1.33 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Fjölnir?

Keflavik 4-0 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 38%, draw 25%, Fjölnir 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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