Leiknir Reykjavik 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 69%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.48/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.47
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
1W-1D-4L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 HT 1-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
08.03.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
29.10.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
24.07.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
01.05.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-1 HT 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL
20.02.2021 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 4-1 HT 4-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik and İB Vestmannaeyjar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İB Vestmannaeyjar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İB Vestmannaeyjar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.67 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Leiknir Reykjavik 1-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated an İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 26%, draw 23%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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