Grotta 1-2 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+10.4pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.8pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.78/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/2.40
+14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 0-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
09.09.2023 Grotta Grotta 1-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
25.07.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
23.08.2022 Grotta Grotta 1-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
16.06.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
23.07.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 4-2 HT 3-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri nicked a narrow win over Grotta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 18% / 42% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Grotta and 1.67 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Thor Akureyri?

Grotta 1-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grotta 39%, draw 18%, Thor Akureyri 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
14 Sep 2024
17:00 Leiknir Reykjavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Analysis →
17:00 Dalvik / Reynir vs Throttur Reykjavik Analysis →
17:00 Grindavik vs Njardvik Analysis →
17:00 Keflavik vs Fjölnir Analysis →
17:00 Afturelding vs IR Reykjavik Analysis →