Schalke 04 0-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 May 2025

Schalke 04
0-2 HT 0-1
Paderborn
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Schalke 04 vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.55
1/2
6%
20.25
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
10%
8.45
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
25%
2.44
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.91/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.30
+33% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
20.7 Crosses 21.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Schalke 04 vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paderborn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
330 Passes 290
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 2-4 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
09.03.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-3 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
29.09.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 3-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
18.02.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
12.09.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 0-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
08.02.2020 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL1

Schalke 04 0-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
0-2
AWAY Paderborn
0.99 xG 2.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
317 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 35
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn got the better of Schalke 04 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 49% of the ball to Paderborn's 51%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.99 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.50 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?

Schalke 04 0-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 28%, draw 26%, Paderborn 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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