Al Shabab Manama 1-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.06
6+ Goals
8%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 31% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 61%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.29/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.84
+29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
08.05.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
17.12.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
16.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHK
07.02.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
14.01.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1-1
AWAY Khalidiya
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama and Khalidiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 37% of the ball to Khalidiya's 63%, shots finished 3-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 1.50 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Khalidiya?

Al Shabab Manama 1-1 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 25%, draw 27%, Khalidiya 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Khalidiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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