Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.65
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.06/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.67
-2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
08.05.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
17.12.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
07.03.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
14.02.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
16.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1-2
AWAY Al Riffa
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli Manama 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 47% of the ball to Al Riffa's 53%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.17 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Al Riffa?

Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 25%, draw 29%, Al Riffa 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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