Botev Vratsa 3-2 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.76
No
61%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.2pp
61%
BTTS No
47%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 33%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.62/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.47
-51% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
19.08.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
07.07.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa squeezed past Septemvri Sofia 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.00 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 3-2 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 44%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
2 May 2025
17:30 Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Analysis →
20:00 Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Analysis →