Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.75/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.79
-40% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
01.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
10.11.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 48% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 52%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 44%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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