Pohang Steelers 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.5
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.57
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
8%
4.88
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
21%
3.19
2/X
12%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.72/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.71
-45% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.0 Crosses 24.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.56 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
444 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-3 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
01.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
26.06.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-2
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
428 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu squeezed past Pohang Steelers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 61% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 39%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Pohang Steelers 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 34%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
2 May 2025
13:30 Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju Analysis →