Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.46
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
19%
4.22
X/2
12%
8.6
X/X
14%
4.5
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
7.27
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.53/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.7 Crosses 11.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gwangju
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
356 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
21.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
10.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
15.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3-0
AWAY Gwangju
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
601 Passes 258
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai cruised past Gwangju 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 67% of the ball to Gwangju's 33%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 45%, draw 28%, Gwangju 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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