Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Aug 2024

📅28/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
11%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
18%
3.86
X/2
10%
9.3
X/X
15%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
7.77
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.48
+32% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
457 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.2 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
388 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
21.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
10.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
15.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
03.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai and Gwangju couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.00 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 45%, draw 28%, Gwangju 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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