Pohang Steelers 2-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 28 Aug 2024

Pohang Steelers
2-1 HT 1-1
Jeju United
📅28/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.55
X/1
11%
4.23
X/2
13%
8.47
X/X
17%
4.51
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.57
2/X
8%
14.3
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 10% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-12.4pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.8pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pohang Steelers v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.37
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.7 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.08.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 2-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
12.05.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
30.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
01.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
16.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-2 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Pohang Steelers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.33 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Pohang Steelers 2-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 28/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 38%, draw 35%, Jeju United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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