Jeju United 2-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.63
No
57%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 35% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.92
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
11%
5.93
X/2
17%
5.4
X/X
19%
4.72
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.44
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
57%
-13.8pp
57%
BTTS No
43%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.74/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.65
-33% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
Crosses 15.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
381 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
30.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
01.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
16.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-2 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.06.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
2-1
AWAY Pohang Steelers
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United edged past Pohang Steelers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 54% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 46%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeju United and 1.83 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers?

Jeju United 2-1 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 29%, draw 31%, Pohang Steelers 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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