Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.26
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
16%
5.68
X/2
13%
4.97
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.54
2/X
10%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.70/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+74% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 16.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gangwon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
328 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-3 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.03.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.11.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
01.10.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
07.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
26.02.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-1
AWAY Gangwon
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 48% of the ball to Gangwon's 52%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.17 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 28%, Gangwon 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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