Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.86
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
16%
4.99
X/2
15%
7.07
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
10%
4.69
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.38/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.91
-71% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
451 Passes 400
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
04.05.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
27.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
14.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
12.03.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
02.08.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1-0
AWAY FC Seoul
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past FC Seoul 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 57% of the ball to FC Seoul's 43%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.33 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs FC Seoul?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 44%, draw 25%, FC Seoul 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5
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