Pohang Steelers 1-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 12 May 2024

Pohang Steelers
1-1 HT 1-0
Jeju United
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.21
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.05
X/2
8%
9.39
X/X
18%
5.09
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.19
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pohang Steelers v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.15
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.9 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 2.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
01.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
16.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-2 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.06.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
06.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
08.10.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Pohang Steelers 1-1 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-1
AWAY Jeju United
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 22
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
304 Passes 471
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers and Jeju United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 41% of the ball to Jeju United's 59%, shots finished 12-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.33 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Pohang Steelers 1-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 42%, draw 30%, Jeju United 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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