Gwangju 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.52
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
16%
5.83
X/X
15%
4.31
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.12
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.74/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.53
-49% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +146%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
304 Passes 417
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
10.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
15.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
03.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
02.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
428 Passes 227
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Gwangju 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gwangju had 62% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 38%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gwangju and 0.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gwangju 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 35%, draw 29%, Ulsan Hyundai 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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