Suwon City 5-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
15%
7.44
X/X
15%
4.84
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
8%
5.33
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 30%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.49/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.15/2.19
-7% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
44.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
394 Passes 358
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
20.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.12.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
12.08.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 3-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
14.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-5 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
26.02.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
5-0
AWAY Jeju United
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
472 Passes 383
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City ran out comfortable winners over Jeju United 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Suwon City had 53% of the ball to Jeju United's 47%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suwon City and 1.83 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Jeju United?

Suwon City 5-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 44%, draw 28%, Jeju United 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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