Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.25
X/2
9%
8.25
X/X
16%
4.75
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.24
2/X
10%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.00/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.00
+107% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses 7.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
374 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
30.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
29.10.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-4 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
26.10.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
26.09.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
03.07.2021 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-4 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-2
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu and Daejeon Citizen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 52% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 48%, shots finished 22-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.33 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 44%, draw 33%, Daejeon Citizen 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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