Sofapaka vs Mathare United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sofapaka v Mathare United — Team-Based Signals
Sofapaka vs Mathare United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Sofapaka 1-1 Mathare United — Actual Match Statistics
Sofapaka and Mathare United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sofapaka at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Sofapaka had 55% of the ball to Mathare United's 45%, shots finished 16-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mathare United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sofapaka and 1.50 for Mathare United.
What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Mathare United?
Sofapaka 1-1 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Mathare United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sofapaka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 46%, draw 29%, Mathare United 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sofapaka), BTTS No went the other way.