Talanta 1-0 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
38%
4-5
14%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talanta The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi The Market 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.60/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talanta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 2-1 HT 1-0 Talanta KEN
20.10.2021 Talanta 1-1 HT 0-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talanta
1-0
AWAY KCB Nairobi
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Talanta vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talanta edged past KCB Nairobi 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Talanta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Talanta had 42% of the ball to KCB Nairobi's 58%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, KCB Nairobi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talanta and 1.50 for KCB Nairobi.

What was the final score of Talanta vs KCB Nairobi?

Talanta 1-0 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talanta vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talanta win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Talanta 34%, draw 32%, KCB Nairobi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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