JDFS Alberts 1-0 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.29
Over
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
JDFS Alberts win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDFS Alberts The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe The Market 15%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.96/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.79
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDFS Alberts
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Marupe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.08.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 1-0 HT 1-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
14.04.2024 Marupe Marupe 0-1 HT 0-0 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
POST-MATCH JDFS Alberts vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts squeezed past Marupe 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JDFS Alberts and 0.00 for Marupe.

What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Marupe?

JDFS Alberts 1-0 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 61%, draw 21%, Marupe 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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