09/08/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-1
JDFS Alberts vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
JDFS Alberts win — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
56%
Home Win
62%
23%
Draw
20%
22%
Away Win
17%
50%
Under 2.5
41%
50%
Over 2.5
59%
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
49%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
JDFS Alberts v Marupe — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
JDFS Alberts
The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marupe
The Market 21%
+15% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
2.85/1.19
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.97/3.75
+35%
/
-10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
-41%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
396 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
279 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
JDFS Alberts vs Marupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
JDFS Alberts
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Marupe
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
JDFS Alberts vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
JDFS Alberts squeezed past Marupe 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of JDFS Alberts vs Marupe?
JDFS Alberts 1-0 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for JDFS Alberts vs Marupe?
Before kick-off our model rated a JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split JDFS Alberts 56%, draw 23%, Marupe 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts)
✗ BTTS Yes
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9 Aug 2024