Be1 NFA 1-3 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Nevezis
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
30.07.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-1 HT 2-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
04.10.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-1 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.05.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 3-2 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
05.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
1-3
AWAY Nevezis
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 27
8 Shots on Target 16
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis saw off Be1 NFA 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Nevezis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 50% of the ball to Nevezis's 50%, shots finished 16-27.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nevezis led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Be1 NFA and 1.60 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Nevezis?

Be1 NFA 1-3 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 33%, draw 30%, Nevezis 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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