Nevezis 2-2 Be1 NFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 55%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.08/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.03
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Be1 NFA
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-1 HT 2-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
04.10.2023 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 1-1 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
26.05.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 3-2 HT 1-1 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
05.08.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis and Be1 NFA couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nevezis and 1.50 for Be1 NFA.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Be1 NFA?

Nevezis 2-2 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Be1 NFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 29%, draw 29%, Be1 NFA 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Be1 NFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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