Ekranas 4-0 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +12%
2.23/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.66
+22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.06.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-1 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
08.11.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 0-3 HT 0-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
01.07.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
12.11.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 3-0 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
06.09.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-1 HT 0-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekranas
4-0
AWAY Panevezys II
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas cruised past Panevezys II 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekranas as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ekranas had 45% of the ball to Panevezys II's 55%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ekranas and 1.60 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Panevezys II?

Ekranas 4-0 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekranas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 49%, draw 24%, Panevezys II 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekranas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekranas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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