Garliava 0-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

Garliava
0-1
Atmosfera
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Garliava vs Atmosfera Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Garliava v Atmosfera — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.59/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/1.96
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Garliava vs Atmosfera Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.06.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 3-2 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
07.10.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-3 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
03.06.2022 Garliava Garliava 1-1 HT 0-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera nicked a narrow win over Garliava 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Atmosfera found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Garliava and 2.00 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Atmosfera?

Garliava 0-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Garliava 39%, draw 23%, Atmosfera 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Garliava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ BTTS No
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