Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Comerciantes Unidos — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
2-2
HT 0-1
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar and Comerciantes Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melgar at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melgar had 65% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 35%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.03 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melgar and 0.83 for Comerciantes Unidos.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Melgar 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Melgar 61%, draw 22%, Comerciantes Unidos 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.