Uniao De Leiria 5-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.03
Over Pick
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.63
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.1
6+
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense The Market 30%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.53/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 15.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
3W-0D-0L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
276 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.12.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-2 HT 0-1 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
08.03.2024 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
29.10.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-4 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
5-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.51 xG 0.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
414 Passes 246
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria ran out comfortable winners over UD Oliveirense 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 55% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 45%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.51 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 0.67 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs UD Oliveirense?

Uniao De Leiria 5-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 47%, draw 23%, UD Oliveirense 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5
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