Universitatea Craiova 1-2 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 29% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.27/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.57
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
14.6 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
441 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.01.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
31.08.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
29.04.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
30.03.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
04.03.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-2
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
1.40 xG 0.55
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
452 Passes 223
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Bucarest edged past Universitatea Craiova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 64% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 36%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.40 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Universitatea Craiova.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 1.00 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest?

Universitatea Craiova 1-2 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 48%, draw 25%, Rapid Bucarest 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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