Akron 1-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
4.42
6+ Goals
12%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.22
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.89
X/2
9%
6.56
X/X
12%
4.22
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
16%
5.04
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.95/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.99
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.0 Crosses 14.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.13 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 159
67% Pass Accuracy 56%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
12.05.2024 Akron Akron 3-1 HT 1-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
08.10.2023 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
26.03.2023 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
04.09.2022 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-1 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-0
AWAY Makhachkala
1.43 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
243 Passes 248
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron nicked a narrow win over Makhachkala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Akron as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Akron had 50% of the ball to Makhachkala's 50%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.43 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Akron had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Akron and 0.60 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Akron vs Makhachkala?

Akron 1-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Akron 43%, draw 26%, Makhachkala 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akron) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akron)
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