Makhachkala 1-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
12%
4.36
X/2
13%
6.82
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
11%
5.6
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 30%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.82
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
12.0 Crosses 16.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Akron
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.05.2024 Akron Akron 3-1 HT 1-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
08.10.2023 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
26.03.2023 Akron Akron 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
04.09.2022 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-1 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-1
AWAY Akron
1.47 xG 1.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
159 Passes 251
56% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala and Akron couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Makhachkala at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Makhachkala had 43% of the ball to Akron's 57%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.47 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Akron led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Makhachkala and 1.75 for Akron.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Akron?

Makhachkala 1-1 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 42%, draw 28%, Akron 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Makhachkala), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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