CSKA Moskova vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Fakel — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
Fakel
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-1
CSKA Moskova
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
CSKA Moskova
RUK
0-2
HT 0-1
Fakel
RUK
0-2
HT 0-1
CSKA Moskova
RUS
CSKA Moskova 0-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Moskova and Fakel played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CSKA Moskova at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 70% of the ball to Fakel's 30%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Fakel.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Fakel?
CSKA Moskova 0-0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Fakel?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 64%, draw 22%, Fakel 14%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.