Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-1
Swansea City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Swansea City
İNCL
Swansea City 3-1 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City got the better of Charlton Athletic 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Swansea City had 72% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 28%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.16 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swansea City and 1.00 for Charlton Athletic.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic?
Swansea City 3-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - Championship on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 51%, draw 21%, Charlton Athletic 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.