Preston North End 1-3 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 53%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.14/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.04
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
19.1 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Southampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.40
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
179 Passes 580
70% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Southampton Southampton 0-2 HT 0-1 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
16.04.2024 Southampton Southampton 3-0 HT 3-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
25.10.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-2 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton İNCL
20.07.2019 Preston North End Preston North End 1-3 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton HAZ
21.09.2011 Southampton Southampton 2-1 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNLK
21.02.2009 Southampton Southampton 3-1 HT 3-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preston North End
1-3
AWAY Southampton
1.91 xG 2.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
310 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton got the better of Preston North End 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southampton as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Preston North End had 45% of the ball to Southampton's 55%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.91 to 2.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Preston North End and 2.17 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Southampton?

Preston North End 1-3 Southampton in the England - Championship on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 26%, draw 24%, Southampton 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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