Hull City 2-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
22%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.98
X/X
12%
5.64
2/1
5%
21.4
2/2
13%
4.5
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.28/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.3 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Norwich City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 2.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 415
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Norwich City Norwich City 0-2 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
15.02.2025 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.10.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 4-0 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
12.01.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.08.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.02.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
2-1
AWAY Norwich City
1.82 xG 0.97
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
159 Passes 390
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City squeezed past Norwich City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hull City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hull City had 35% of the ball to Norwich City's 65%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.82 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hull City and 2.00 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Norwich City?

Hull City 2-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hull City 44%, draw 24%, Norwich City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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