Hull City 1-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.54
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
12%
12.55
X/1
18%
5.53
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
13%
4.49
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.25
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.9 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Norwich City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.84 xG 2.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
331 Passes 428
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 4-0 HT 2-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
12.01.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
05.08.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.02.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 3-1 HT 1-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
13.08.2022 Hull City Hull City 2-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.03.2019 Norwich City Norwich City 3-2 HT 2-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-1
AWAY Norwich City
0.93 xG 1.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
300 Passes 485
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City and Norwich City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Hull City had 40% of the ball to Norwich City's 60%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.93 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hull City and 2.50 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Norwich City?

Hull City 1-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hull City 39%, draw 31%, Norwich City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hull City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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