Cardiff City 1-1 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 36% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.25
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.99
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.26
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
13%
3.48
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · X/2 at 5.26 — our 20% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.4pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
0.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.4 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bristol City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
279 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
02.03.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
28.10.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
04.03.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
21.08.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
22.01.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 3-2 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
1-1
AWAY Bristol City
1.69 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 251
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City and Bristol City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cardiff City had 57% of the ball to Bristol City's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.69 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cardiff City and 1.00 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Bristol City?

Cardiff City 1-1 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 35%, draw 27%, Bristol City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bristol City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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