Bristol City 0-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.35
X/1
14%
4.01
X/2
10%
7.4
X/X
14%
3.71
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
11%
6.53
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +37%
1.35/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.8 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 254
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
04.03.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
21.08.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
22.01.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 3-2 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
28.08.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-2 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
06.02.2021 Bristol City Bristol City 0-2 HT 0-2 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
0-1
AWAY Cardiff City
0.72 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
491 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City squeezed past Bristol City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bristol City had 59% of the ball to Cardiff City's 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol City and 1.50 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Cardiff City?

Bristol City 0-1 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 42%, draw 29%, Cardiff City 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bristol City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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