Norwich City 1-0 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 32% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.46
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
8%
8.22
X/X
15%
4.78
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.23
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.49
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.8 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sunderland
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.67 xG 2.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
372 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Sunderland Sunderland 3-1 HT 2-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
12.03.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-1 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
27.08.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
10.04.2018 Sunderland Sunderland 1-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
13.08.2017 Norwich City Norwich City 1-3 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
16.04.2016 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
1-0
AWAY Sunderland
1.27 xG 0.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
437 Passes 422
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City squeezed past Sunderland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Norwich City had 51% of the ball to Sunderland's 49%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.27 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Norwich City and 1.83 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Sunderland?

Norwich City 1-0 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 47%, draw 28%, Sunderland 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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