Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Swansea City
2-1 HT 2-0
Blackburn Rovers
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
10%
7.03
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
11%
4.92
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City v Blackburn Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.45/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.17
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.3 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
384 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
18.02.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
06.08.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
05.02.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
07.08.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
09.03.2021 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL

Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
2-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.57 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City nicked a narrow win over Blackburn Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swansea City had 52% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 48%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.57 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Swansea City and 1.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 44%, draw 29%, Blackburn Rovers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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