Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Stoke City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-1
Stoke City
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-1
Middlesbrough
İNCL
3-1
HT 2-0
Stoke City
İNCL
0-0
HT 0-0
Middlesbrough
İNCL
3-0
HT 2-0
Stoke City
İNCL
Stoke City 2-0 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City got the better of Middlesbrough 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Stoke City found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Stoke City had 38% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 62%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.25 to 0.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stoke City and 1.50 for Middlesbrough.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Stoke City 2-0 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 34%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Middlesbrough) went the other way.