Oxford United 0-2 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
12%
18.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.41
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
20%
5.14
X/2
10%
6.14
X/X
11%
4.23
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.48
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.86
+46% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
9.0 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.12
44% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
230 Passes 326
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
02.03.2024 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 1-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
30.01.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 2-2 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
18.04.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
25.10.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
01.03.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-2 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
0-2
AWAY Portsmouth
1.36 xG 1.99
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 192
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth beat Oxford United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Oxford United had 61% of the ball to Portsmouth's 39%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.36 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oxford United and 1.67 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Portsmouth?

Oxford United 0-2 Portsmouth in the England - Championship on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 42%, draw 26%, Portsmouth 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Oxford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford United) ✓ BTTS No
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